A strike on Israel by an emboldened Iran looms, but may not be imminent

Iran is feeling emboldened, and this has the Israeli military, which regularly bombs Iranian assets in the region, concerned that Tehran will one day respond to these strikes with a cruise missile or drone attack.

In light of these concerns, the Israel Defense Forces appears to have scaled down its operations against Iranian and Iranian-allied forces in the region in recent weeks. (Israel acknowledges conducting strikes against Iranian targets in the region in general, but as a rule does not take responsibility for specific attacks.)

This hiatus appears to have been a bid to cool tensions following a one-day battle between Israel and the Iran-backed Hezbollah terror group on September 1 and an effort by the IDF to ensure that the sensitive period of the Jewish High Holidays — from September 30 to October 21 — passed without conflict.

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Indeed there have been no reported airstrikes against pro-Iranian militias in Syria or Iraq since September 28.

The situation is tense and precarious and poised to deteriorate into a conflict

With the end of the Jewish festivals, the military may soon return to its campaign against Iranian entrenchment in the Middle East and with it the threat of Iranian attack.

Such a retaliatory strike by Iran does not appear to be imminent, but does appear to be firmly on the horizon, according to an Israeli Military Inte....

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